Vox the most popular party with voters between 18-34 year olds.
Having previously fallen back in opinion polls , Vox have resurged and crucially, can rightfully claim to be the party of Spanish youth. A recently published opinion poll conducted by 40db for Spanish Newspaper El Pais (Download opinion poll available here) shows 27.9% of 18-24 are intending to vote for Vox whilst 26% of 25-34 years old have stated they intend to vote Vox at the next General Election. This youth vote is over double PP´s 18-24 vote and 7% higher than PSOE´s 20% amoungst 25-34 year olds. Despite this, the predicted low voter turnout of young people and declining belief in democracy may well hinder Vox at the next election.
The ´Jubiladura´
However, the demographic power of retirees and their immense bloc voting poses a challenge to any third party in breaking through, increasingly shows the political divide and seriously questions the ability of either PSOE or PP to break the unearned pension and housing privileges of Spain´s retirees. Over 62% of Spanish voters 65+ intend to vote for either PSOE or PP whilst less than a third of those under 34 intend to do so. Vox´s momentum continued with a rally in Alcala de Hernares on Sunday 6th July against what they call the current open border immigration policy of Spain.
🔴 ÚLTIMA HORA
VOX rechaza la llegada de casi 700 nuevos MENAs a Málaga.
¡A seguir salvando vidas! 👏🏻👏🏻 pic.twitter.com/oNgxQcLJKz
— VOX por España 🇪🇸 (@VOXpEspana) July 5, 2025
No incentive for Vox to prop up PP
After several years of recovering from unwise alliances with PP across Spain, the latest opinion polls show that Vox is set to be on a collision course with PP in the next parliament and indeed the division between the generation that Vox seeks to represent will need them to reassess positions, such as on housing. Whether Vox have the ability to break free from conventional liberal economic positions to actively favour their future base and the discipline not to be tempted by future coalitions with PP remains to be seen.
Datos que deberían preocupar al @ppopular mucho más que sus cambios de caras:
1 El PP pierde más votos a Vox de los que gana del PSOE (sí, es hablar con la pared)
2 La izquierda es cosa de viejos, pero Vox pasa al PP.
Fuente: 4dB para El País. pic.twitter.com/thqNNYib3P
— Carlos Mtz Gorriarán (@cmgorriaran) July 4, 2025